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Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%89¢
Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%★ BEST9¢
Polymarket • Volume: $13.3K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES · Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%
at 9¢
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→
OU's fair15¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate

Kevin Warsh was sworn in as Fed Chair but current interest rates remain above three percent with limited time for the target lower bound to reach the required threshold.

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