Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES21¢ (21%)
NO79¢ (79%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.2K • Updated 5h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 80¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket80¢
→OU's fair80¢
Confidence
Low
Andy Burnham is a high-profile candidate likely to win by a much larger margin than the narrow three to six percent range specified in this contract.
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