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Malta Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Labour Party 5-10%98¢
Labour Party <5%1¢
Labour Party 10-15%★ BEST1¢
Labour Party 15-20%0¢
Other0¢
Labour Party 25%+0¢
Labour Party 20-25%0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $32.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-30
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Labour Party 10-15%
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair21¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 133×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling data indicates the Labour Party maintains a consistent lead over the Nationalist Party within the ten to twelve percent range ahead of the May 30 election.

Wide edge+20¢
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