Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES95¢ (95%)
NO5¢ (5%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 6¢ · pays 18×
Price gap
Polymarket6¢
→OU's fair6¢
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Ed Markey and challenger Seth Moulton maintain a massive fundraising advantage over Republican John Deaton in a state that has not elected a Republican Senator since 2010.
Off market consensus
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