May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
1¢
1¢
0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $41.5K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-10 (16d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 1.25–1.29ºC
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair40¢
+39¢ underpriced · pays 133×
Confidence
Low
Global temperature trends show significant cooling through 2025 and early 2026 which suggests the lower end of recent historical anomalies is more likely for May.
Wide edge+39¢
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