MD-01 House Election Winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
62¢
36¢
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Polymarket • Volume: $8.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic Party
at 36¢
Price gap
Polymarket36¢
→OU's fair11¢
−25¢ overpriced · pays 2.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Maryland's 1st district is a Republican stronghold and a proposal to redraw the map to be more favorable for Democrats failed in the 2026 legislative session.
Wide edge+25¢
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