Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair94¢
Confidence
Low
Maryland's 4th district is a heavily Democratic seat where the incumbent Glenn Ivey faces no credible Republican opposition in a district with a D+40 partisan lean.
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