Will the Republican Party win the MD-05 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.4K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 24×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair94¢
+90¢ underpriced · pays 24×
Confidence
Moderate
Maryland's 5th District is a safe Democratic stronghold that has consistently elected Democratic candidates by overwhelming margins for decades.
Wide edge+90¢
Off market consensus
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