Will the Republican Party win the MD-06 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $10K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair94¢
Confidence
Low
Maryland's 6th district is historically a Democratic-leaning seat and David Trone's significant fundraising advantage suggests a difficult environment for a Republican pickup.
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