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Will the Democratic Party win the MI-02 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $21.3K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 6¢ · pays 18×
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair10¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 18×
Confidence
Moderate

Michigan's 2nd District is a heavily Republican-leaning seat that has consistently elected GOP candidates by wide margins in recent election cycles.

Off market consensus
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