Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES83¢ (83%)
NO17¢ (17%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $41.1K • Updated 19m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 18¢ · pays 5.7×
Price gap
Polymarket18¢
→OU's fair38¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 5.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Michigan remains a competitive swing state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial elections despite the departure of popular incumbent Gretchen Whitmer.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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