OVER / UNDER
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Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES67¢ (67%)
NO33¢ (33%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $82.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 34¢ · pays 3.0×
Price gap
Polymarket34¢
OU's fair45¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 3.0×
Confidence
Moderate

Democratic candidates currently lead in fundraising and cash on hand for this open seat according to FEC filings.

Off market consensus
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