OVER / UNDER
min-arctic-sea-ice-extent-this-summer ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ min-arctic-sea-ice-extent-this-summer ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ min-arctic-sea-ice-extent-this-summer ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ min-arctic-sea-ice-extent-this-summer ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ min-arctic-sea-ice-extent-this-summer ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★ min-arctic-sea-ice-extent-this-summer ★ POLYMARKET ★ MULTI ★

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
<4m sq km49¢
4.0-4.2m sq km29¢
4.2-4.4m sq km9¢
4.6-4.8m sq km6¢
4.4-4.6m sq km2¢
5m+ sq km★ BEST1¢
4.8-5m sq km1¢
Polymarket • Volume: $51.1K • Updated 50m agoCloses: 2026-10-01
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES · 5m+ sq km
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→
OU's fair21¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 118×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent historical data shows the Arctic sea ice minimum has consistently fallen below 5 million square kilometers since 2007 with the 2023 minimum reaching 4.23 million.

Wide edge+20¢
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.