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Minnesota Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Michele Tafoya84¢
Adam Schwarze10¢
Royce White4¢
Mike Ruoho2¢
Jim Nash1¢
Alycia Gruenhagen★ BEST1¢
Tom Weiler1¢
David Hann1¢
Julia Coleman0¢
Christopher Brooks0¢
Raymond Petersen0¢
Kristin Robbins0¢
Candidate K0¢
Candidate J0¢
Candidate O0¢
Candidate M0¢
Candidate N0¢
Other0¢
Candidate L0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $84.1K • Updated 18m agoCloses: 2026-08-11
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Alycia Gruenhagen
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair
+4¢ underpriced · pays 143×
Confidence
Moderate

FEC filings for the 2026 cycle show Gruenhagen has no reported campaign receipts while competitors like Michele Tafoya and Adam Schwarze have raised over one million dollars.

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