Will the Democratic Party win the MN-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.4K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair94¢
Confidence
Moderate
Minnesota's 4th district is a safe Democratic stronghold that has consistently elected Democratic candidates by overwhelming margins for several decades.
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