Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES89¢ (89%)
NO11¢ (11%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $20.6K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-08-11
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 11¢ · pays 9.1×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair12¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Ilhan Omar has consistently won her primary contests in the Minneapolis-based district and maintains a high national profile for the 2026 cycle.
Off market consensus
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