Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?

poly-0x0f5868daefc271 ★ POLYMARKET ★ YES/NO ★ poly-0x0f5868daefc271 ★ POLYMARKET ★ YES/NO ★ poly-0x0f5868daefc271 ★ POLYMARKET ★ YES/NO ★ poly-0x0f5868daefc271 ★ POLYMARKET ★ YES/NO ★ poly-0x0f5868daefc271 ★ POLYMARKET ★ YES/NO ★ poly-0x0f5868daefc271 ★ POLYMARKET ★ YES/NO ★

← Back

Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.

Market price

YES7¢ (7%)

NO93¢ (93%)

Latest refresh · prices in cents

Polymarket • Volume: $14.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03

Polymarket · Politics

OU's Pick

NO at 94¢ · pays 1.1×

Price gap

Polymarket94¢

→

OU's fair94¢

Confidence

Low

Missouri's 4th district is a deeply Republican seat that has not been won by a Democrat in over a decade and is currently rated as solid Republican by major analysts.

View on Polymarket↗

Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.