MO-05 House Election Winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
59¢
30¢
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Polymarket • Volume: $2.9K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic Party
at 30¢
Price gap
Polymarket30¢
→OU's fair50¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Emanuel Cleaver has held this safely Democratic seat since 2005 and is running for reelection in a district that was not significantly altered by redistricting.
Wide edge+20¢
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