Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES87¢ (87%)
NO13¢ (13%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7K • Updated 23m agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (7d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 14¢ · pays 7.4×
Price gap
Polymarket14¢
→OU's fair25¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 7.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Reilly Neill has significantly higher fundraising totals and cash on hand compared to Alani Bankhead and other primary challengers according to FEC filings.
Off market consensus
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