Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES74¢ (74%)
NO26¢ (26%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $38K • Updated 1h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 26¢ · pays 3.8×
Price gap
Polymarket26¢
→OU's fair28¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 3.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Republican incumbent Steve Daines maintains a massive fundraising lead and significant cash on hand advantage over a field of relatively underfunded Democratic challengers.
Off market consensus
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