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Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES95¢ (95%)
NO5¢ (5%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.6K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 95¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket95¢
OU's fair95¢
Confidence
Moderate

Mississippi's 3rd district is a safe Republican seat where incumbent Michael Guest has historically faced minimal opposition in a heavily conservative region.

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