Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES80¢ (80%)
NO20¢ (20%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 80¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket80¢
→OU's fair95¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Mississippi's 4th district is a Republican stronghold that has not elected a Democrat in over a decade and remains a safe seat for the GOP in the 2026 cycle.
Wide edge+15¢
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