NATO article 5 before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $90.2K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 91¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket91¢
→OU's fair92¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
NATO Article 5 has only been invoked once in history and current geopolitical tensions remain below the threshold of a direct armed attack on a member state.
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