NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES24¢ (24%)
NO76¢ (76%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $205.5K • Updated 6m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
NO at 77¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket77¢
→OU's fair92¢
+15¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Diplomatic warnings of increasing risks and specific missile strike condemnations indicate heightened tensions without any confirmed direct military engagement between forces.
Wide edge+15¢
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