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Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES34¢ (34%)
NO66¢ (66%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.9K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 66¢ · pays 1.5×
Price gap
Polymarket66¢
OU's fair86¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate

North Carolina's 5th district was redrawn in 2025 to be a safe Republican seat and historical voting patterns in this region heavily favor the Republican candidate.

Wide edge+20¢
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