Will the Republican Party win the NC-08 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES83¢ (83%)
NO17¢ (17%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.6K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 83¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket83¢
→OU's fair92¢
+9¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
North Carolina lawmakers recently redrew the congressional map to specifically favor Republican candidates in this district for the 2026 midterm elections.
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