Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES77¢ (77%)
NO23¢ (23%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $27.3K • Updated 23m agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 23¢ · pays 4.3×
Price gap
Polymarket23¢
→OU's fair41¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 4.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Denise Powell won the Democratic primary on May 12 2026 and now faces a competitive general election in a district that historically leans slightly Republican.
Wide edge+18¢
Off market consensus
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