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NE-03 House Election Winner

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Republican Party★ BEST94¢
Democratic Party7¢
A0¢
C0¢
E0¢
Other0¢
B0¢
D0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $4.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Republican Party
at 94¢
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
OU's fair97¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Republican Adrian Smith won his primary on May 12 2026 in a district that has not elected a Democrat since the 1950s.

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