Will Aaron Ford win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES98¢ (98%)
NO2¢ (2%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-09 (14d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 2¢ · pays 53×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair15¢
+13¢ underpriced · pays 53×
Confidence
Moderate
Aaron Ford is the only major Democratic candidate to officially launch a campaign for the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial primary according to Cook Political Report and Ballotpedia.
Wide edge+13¢
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.