Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES53¢ (53%)
NO47¢ (47%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.2K • Updated 2h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 47¢ · pays 2.1×
Price gap
Polymarket47¢
→OU's fair55¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 2.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo maintains high approval ratings while Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford has officially entered the race to challenge him.
Off market consensus
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