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Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-09-08
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
OU's fair95¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

FEC data shows Manzur has significantly less cash on hand and lower receipts than established Democratic incumbents like Chris Pappas and Jeanne Shaheen.

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