Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.7K • Updated 23m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 50×
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→OU's fair18¢
+16¢ underpriced · pays 50×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Ben Ray Lujan holds a massive fundraising advantage over Republican challengers who have reported zero receipts according to FEC filings.
Wide edge+16¢
Off market consensus
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