Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES91¢ (91%)
NO9¢ (9%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.5K • Updated 4h agoCloses:
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 9¢ · pays 11×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair29¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 11×
Confidence
Moderate
Search context indicates Gemini 3 Pro is already leading benchmarks and outperforming previous models which suggests the next Pro iteration will likely exceed the 1490 threshold.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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