Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2028-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 80¢ · pays 1.3×
Price gap
Polymarket80¢
→OU's fair88¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Schlein leads the opposition but the current Meloni government maintains a stable majority and the next general election is not required until December 2027.
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