Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1460?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES15¢ (15%)
NO85¢ (85%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.9K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Science and Technology
OU's Pick
NO at 85¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket85¢
→OU's fair91¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Low
The current top model on the leaderboard is at 1346 and xAI is training a massive 10 trillion parameter model expected to significantly exceed current performance benchmarks.
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