Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES87¢ (87%)
NO13¢ (13%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.9K • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 13¢ · pays 7.8×
Price gap
Polymarket13¢
→OU's fair33¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 7.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Cook Political Report notes the district voted for Harris by two points and Republicans view it as a pickup opportunity in a competitive midterm environment.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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