Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES92¢ (92%)
NO8¢ (8%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $13.4K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 8¢ · pays 12×
Price gap
Polymarket8¢
→OU's fair8¢
Confidence
Low
Democrat Analilia Mejia won the special election for the NJ-11 House seat on April 16 2026 to succeed Mikie Sherrill.
Off market consensus
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