NM-02 House Election Winner
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
60¢
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Polymarket • Volume: $17.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Democratic Party
at 60¢
Price gap
Polymarket60¢
→OU's fair55¢
−5¢ overpriced · pays 1.7×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Gabe Vasquez holds a slight advantage in this competitive swing district that historically leans marginally toward the Democratic party in recent cycles.
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