Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES60¢ (60%)
NO40¢ (40%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $9.4K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-06-06 (12d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 41¢ · pays 2.5×
Price gap
Polymarket41¢
→OU's fair61¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Magnus Carlsen is the world number one and defending champion but faces a highly competitive field including world champion Gukesh Dommaraju in the 2026 tournament.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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