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Will the Democratic Party win the NV-01 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES54¢ (54%)
NO46¢ (46%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.3K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 47¢ · pays 2.2×
Price gap
Polymarket47¢
OU's fair47¢
Confidence
Low

Nevada's 1st Congressional District is a historically Democratic stronghold that includes the Las Vegas Strip and has consistently elected Democratic representatives.

Off market consensus
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