Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES57¢ (57%)
NO43¢ (43%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.5K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 57¢ · pays 1.8×
Price gap
Polymarket57¢
→OU's fair65¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota maintains a significant advantage in early 2026 polling for this historically competitive Long Island district.
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