Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 11¢ · pays 9.1×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair25¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis holds a historically Republican-leaning district that has resisted Democratic challengers in recent cycles despite various union-backed efforts.
Wide edge+14¢
Off market consensus
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