Will the Democratic Party win the NY-18 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES62¢ (62%)
NO38¢ (38%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $32K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 38¢ · pays 2.6×
Price gap
Polymarket38¢
→OU's fair49¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 2.6×
Confidence
Low
NY-18 is a competitive swing district that currently has Democratic representation and historically leans slightly toward the Democratic party in recent election cycles.
Off market consensus
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