Will the Republican Party win the NY-20 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES7¢ (7%)
NO93¢ (93%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 7¢ · pays 14×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair15¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 14×
Confidence
Moderate
New York's 20th district is a Democratic stronghold centered on Albany that has consistently elected Paul Tonko by wide margins in recent election cycles.
Off market consensus
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