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Will the Democratic Party win the NY-25 House seat?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $15K • Updated 23m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 6¢ · pays 15×
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair
Confidence
Low

New York's 25th district is a solidly Democratic seat centered on Rochester and has consistently elected Democrats by wide margins in recent election cycles.

Off market consensus
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