Will the Republican Party win the NY-26 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.5K • Updated 23m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 12×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair15¢
+6¢ underpriced · pays 12×
Confidence
Moderate
New York's 26th district is a historically Democratic stronghold and the Republican party lacks significant fundraising presence in the region for the 2026 cycle.
Off market consensus
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