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Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES96¢ (96%)
NO4¢ (4%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.9K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 96¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket96¢
OU's fair97¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
Moderate

Hakeem Jeffries is the incumbent House Minority Leader and faces no significant primary opposition for his safe Democratic seat in the upcoming June 23 primary election.

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