Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES48¢ (48%)
NO52¢ (52%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $20K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-11-04
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 48¢ · pays 2.1×
Price gap
Polymarket48¢
→OU's fair50¢
+2¢ underpriced · pays 2.1×
Confidence
Low
Derek Merrin won the Republican primary to challenge incumbent Marcy Kaptur in a district that remains highly competitive.
Off market consensus
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