OVER / UNDER
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Will Frank Lucas be the Republican nominee for OK-03?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-16 (11d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 6¢ · pays 17×
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair
+2¢ underpriced · pays 17×
Confidence
Moderate

Frank Lucas is an incumbent running for re-election in a safe Republican district with significant institutional support and no high-profile primary challengers reported.

Off market consensus
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