Will the Democratic Party win the OK-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES5¢ (5%)
NO95¢ (95%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 5¢ · pays 19×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair94¢
+89¢ underpriced · pays 19×
Confidence
Low
Oklahoma's 4th district is a historically safe Republican seat that has not elected a Democrat in decades.
Wide edge+89¢
Off market consensus
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